CIPS Experimental Southern Plains Wildfire Outbreak Guidance

A Statistical Comparison Between the 30-member GEFS Model Guidance and the Southern Plains Wildfire Outbreak Conceptual Model
and based on the M.S. Thesis of Matt Beitscher (matthew[dot]beitscher[at]noaa.gov)

  GUIDANCE FROM THE SAME RUN  ·  GUIDANCE VALID ON SAME DAY

  20250517/0000  ·  20250516/1200  ·  20250516/0000  ·  20250515/1200  ·  20250515/0000  ·  20250514/1200  ·  20250514/0000  ·  20250513/1200  ·  20250513/0000
image
GEFS Comp GEFS Comp GEFS Comp GEFS Comp GEFS Comp GEFS Comp GEFS Comp GEFS Comp GEFS Comp
Top PPF Comp Top PPF Comp Top PPF Comp Top PPF Comp
Top 5 Comp Top 5 Comp Top 5 Comp Top 5 Comp
1. 20151111
    PPF · NARR		 1. 20110524
    PPF · NARR		 1. 20110524
    PPF · NARR		 1. 20080225
    PPF · NARR
2. 20170306
    PPF · NARR		 2. 20180417
    PPF · NARR		 2. 20110227
    PPF · NARR		 2. 20090409
    PPF · NARR
3. 20110322
    PPF · NARR		 3. 20180412
    PPF · NARR		 3. 20170223
    PPF · NARR		 3. 20151111
    PPF · NARR
4. 20110403
    PPF · NARR		 4. 20110409
    PPF · NARR		 4. 20090404
    PPF · NARR		 4. 20160323
    PPF · NARR
5. 20060406
    PPF · NARR		 5. 20170323
    PPF · NARR		 5. 20160323
    PPF · NARR		 5. 20051227
    PPF · NARR