Southern Plains Wildfire Outbreak

CIPS Experimental Southern Plains Wildfire Outbreak Guidance

A Statistical Comparison Between the 30-member GEFS Model Guidance and the Southern Plains Wildfire Outbreak Conceptual Model
and based on the M.S. Thesis of Matt Beitscher (matthew[dot]beitscher[at]noaa.gov)

GUIDANCE FROM THE SAME RUN · GUIDANCE VALID ON SAME DAY

20250517/0000 · 20250516/1200 · 20250516/0000 · 20250515/1200 · 20250515/0000 · 20250514/1200 · 20250514/0000 · 20250513/1200 · 20250513/0000

GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp	GEFS Comp
Top PPF Comp			Top PPF Comp	Top PPF Comp	Top PPF Comp
Top 5 Comp			Top 5 Comp	Top 5 Comp	Top 5 Comp
1. 20151111 PPF · NARR			1. 20110524 PPF · NARR	1. 20110524 PPF · NARR	1. 20151111 PPF · NARR
2. 20170306 PPF · NARR			2. 20180417 PPF · NARR	2. 20060312 PPF · NARR	2. 20080225 PPF · NARR
3. 20110322 PPF · NARR			3. 20110409 PPF · NARR	3. 20110227 PPF · NARR	3. 20160323 PPF · NARR
4. 20110403 PPF · NARR			4. 20180412 PPF · NARR	4. 20110322 PPF · NARR	4. 20090409 PPF · NARR
5. 20060406 PPF · NARR			5. 20170323 PPF · NARR	5. 20090404 PPF · NARR	5. 20060101 PPF · NARR