CIPS Experimental Analog-Based Severe Probability Guidance
GEFS Run: 20251224/0000F120    Valid: 20251229/0000
20251224/0000 · 20251217/0000 · 20251216/0000 · 20251215/0000 · 20251214/0000 · 20251213/0000 · 20251212/0000 · 20251211/0000 · 20251210/0000
   All Severe  ·  Wind  ·  Hail  ·  Tornado
 Filled Contours      Pixels and Contours    
Threat Guidance for 20251224/0000 Run
Probability of Severe:
Climatological Frequency of Severe:
Significant Atmospheric Fields
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Top 5 Most Similar Analogs
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Measures of Confidence for Prob. of Severe
Percentage of Top 100 with Severe:
Brier Skill Score:
Area Under Receiver Op. Characteristic Curve:
Day 1 (F024) Day 2 (F048) Day 3 (F072) Day 4 (F096) Day 5 (F120) Day 6 (F144) Day 7 (F168) Day 8 (F192)
25 Dec 2025 26 Dec 2025 27 Dec 2025 28 Dec 2025 29 Dec 2025 30 Dec 2025 31 Dec 2025 01 Jan 2026

Clicking on the map will update the values displayed in the table on the right side of the GUI.

For more information about the new Analog-Based Severe Probability Guidance, click here.

Please send feedback and suggestions to slu[dot]cips[at]gmail[dot]com.





Last updated: 15:37 GMT 1 December 2022 · Cooperative Institute for Precipitation Systems · Saint Louis University · slu[dot]cips[at]gmail[dot]com