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Richard H. Grumm


Richard H. Grumm is the Scientific Operations Officer (SOO) at the National Weather Service Forecast Office (NWSFO) in State College, Pennsylvania. He arrived at State College in May of 1993.  Previously, he worked at the National Meteorological Center (NMC, now known as NCEP) in the Meteorological Operations Division in Camp Springs, Maryland. His primary duties at State College included applying state of the art meteorological science into weather forecasts and warnings, meteorological and training research, and the development and maintenance of applications software.  Recent research includes using climatological data to enhance forecasting using model and ensemble guidance to identify significant weather events.  The combination of ensembles and climatic anomalies has been a focus of research efforts since 1999. A recent paper, accepted for publication Weather and Forecasting focus is on wind anomalies and winter storms. Several AMS conference papers on the topics of climatic anomalies, ensembles, and model uncertainty have been presented at recent NWP/WAF meetings since 1999.

Prior to working at NMC, he worked for United States Air Force (1982-1987) as a climatologist and as a meteorological instructor. He also has worked as a research scientist at the University of Virginia (1981-1982). He received a B.S. (1979) from the State University of New York at Oneonta and an M.S. (1981) at the State University of New York at Albany.  He was also the Commander of the 203 Weather Flight, Pennsylvania Air National Guard (1997-2004) and served as a Weather Officer in the National Guard weather program for nearly 22 years before retiring on 31 October 2004. He also served as the Staff Weather Officer in support of Operation Joint Guardian at Camp Bondsteel, Kosovo from July 2003 through January 2004. 

In 2005 he participated in a World Meteorological Organization (WMO) workshop on ensemble prediction in Brasilia, Brazil and Shanghai, China. Topics taught included: where to access ensemble data in real-time, computer assisted learning about the use of ensembles, and operational forecast applications using ensemble forecast data. The WMO workshop focused on training meteorologists in central and South America on the use of ensembles. He was the recipient of the NWS Cline award for Leadership for innovation and leadership in ensemble forecasting across the globe. He recently participated in ensemble training with the Chinese Meteorological Administration in Beijing in September 2007 and in sub-Saharan Africa in October 2007.

He is currently a member on the AMS and the NWA.


Recent Refereed Publications:

Grumm,R.H. and R. Hart 2001: Standardized anomalies applied to significant cold season weather events: Preliminary Findings. Wea. Forecasting,16,736-754.

Hart,R.E, and R.H. Grumm 2001: Using normalized climatological anomalies to rank synoptic-scale events objectively. Mon. Wea. Rev.,129,2426-2442.

Stuart,N.A and R.H. Grumm 2006: Using Wind Anomalies to Forecast East Coast Winter Storms. Wea. Forecasting. To appear late 2006.

Grumm,R.H., J.D. Ross, and P.G Knight 2005:Examining Severe Weather Events Using Reanalysis Datasets. CD 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington, DC, Amer. Meteor. Soc. Paper P1.87.

Grumm,R.H., R. Holmes, and J. Villani 2005a: An Evaluation of Short-Term MOS and Short-Term Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts. CD 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington, DC, Amer. Meteor. Soc. Paper 11A.3.

Grumm,R.H., J. Villani, R. Hart 2005b: An Evaluation of Ensemble MOS Temperature Forecasts from the Medium Range Ensemble Forecast System. CD 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington, DC, Amer. Meteor. Soc. Paper 11A.6

Grumm,R.H., and J. Du 2005c: NCEP SREF Forecasts of three Hurricanes during the 2004 Tropical Season. CD 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington, DC, Amer. Meteor. Soc. Paper P1.46.

Lipton,K.L and R.H. Grumm 2005d: Forecasting heat waves using climatic anomalies. CD 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington, DC, Amer. Meteor. Soc. Paper P1.60.